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Bitcoin Price Predictions

Power Law model forecasts for Bitcoin's price bands by year

These projections use the Bitcoin Power Law model, a mathematical framework that has described BTC price growth since inception. Each year shows three bands: support (historically cheap), fair value (model regression), and resistance (historically expensive).

2025

1 year after the 2024 halving
Support
$41,000
Fair Value
$102,000
Resistance
$276,000

2026

2 years after the 2024 halving — historically late cycle
Support
$57,000
Fair Value
$142,000
Resistance
$363,000

2027

1 year before the 2028 halving — historically accumulation
Support
$78,000
Fair Value
$195,000
Resistance
$470,000

2028

Expected 5th halving year
Support
$105,000
Fair Value
$263,000
Resistance
$601,000

2030

2 years after the 2028 halving — historically late cycle
Support
$183,000
Fair Value
$458,000
Resistance
$948,000

2035

Approaching 7th halving era
Support
$602,000
Fair Value
$1,504,000
Resistance
$2,514,000

2040

Mature adoption phase
Support
$1,609,000
Fair Value
$4,023,000
Resistance
$5,631,000

Explore the Live Power Law Model

See real-time price bands, deviation metrics, and interactive charts.

View Power Law Model

Frequently Asked Questions

No model can predict Bitcoin's exact future price. The Power Law model provides a mathematical framework based on Bitcoin's historical growth pattern, producing bands that have contained price over 95% of the time since inception. These projections are most useful as reference ranges rather than precise targets.

The Bitcoin Power Law is a mathematical model that plots BTC price as a power function of time since the genesis block. On a log-log scale, Bitcoin's price history forms a remarkably straight line. The model generates support, fair value, and resistance bands that help contextualize whether Bitcoin is currently cheap or expensive relative to its long-term trend.

According to the Power Law model, Bitcoin's fair value band is projected to reach $1 million between 2030 and 2040. Whether this actually occurs depends on continued adoption, favorable regulation, and the persistence of Bitcoin's historical growth pattern. The model's long-range projections carry increasing uncertainty.

Updated February 2026

Related

Market CyclesBull and bear phases by halving eraCycle IndicatorsDeep-dive guides to every indicatorPrice HistoryYear-by-year Bitcoin price performance

Not financial advice. Based on the Power Law mathematical model which may not predict future prices. Always do your own research before making investment decisions.

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